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Advertiser Predictions for the Best Rated New and Returning Shows 2015-2016

Jul 21, 2015

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Variety’s list of the projected top programs for “C3” in the 2015-2016 season follows below. The scheduling days for some of the programs have not been formally announced, but are based on buyer expectations (Nielsen estimated a single 18-to-49 ratings point in the 2014-2015 season was equivalent to about 1,269,800 viewers):

1) “Sunday Night Football,” NBC Sunday, 7.3
2) “Thursday Night Football,” CBS, Thursday, 5.7
3) “Empire,” Fox, Wednesday, 5.5
4) “The OT,” Fox, Sunday 4.8
5) “The Big Bang Theory,” CBS, Monday 4.42
6) “Football Night In America,” NBC, Sunday 4.1
7) “The Big Bang Theory,” CBS Thursday 3.81
8) “Scandal,” ABC, Thursday, 3.39
9) “How to Get Away With Murder,” ABC, Thursday, 3.32
10) “Modern Family,”ABC, Wednesday, 3.23
11) “The Voice,” NBC, Monday 3.1
12) “The X-Files,” Fox, Monday 3.07
13) “Blindspot,” NBC, Monday 2.99
14) “The Catch,” ABC, Thursday, 2.97
15) “The Voice,” NBC, Tuesday 2.84

107 comments:

  1. Um
    No Muppets, Scream Queen or Supergirl
    ...

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  2. That's good lol.

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  3. I don't think The Catch will do that good.

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  4. They predicted State of Affairs in the top 15 last year. LMAO

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  5. No complaints from me. The Blacklist could have been there, but NBC botched that up big time....

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  6. So advertisers are pretty confident Scandal will get its mojo back

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  7. Empire will do better than that i think

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  8. I actually think that's reasonable, maybe slightly higer

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  9. Empire - 5.5 - Pessimistic
    Scandal - 3.4 - Optimistic

    HTGAWM - 3.3 - Optimistic

    Modern Family - 3.2 - Optimistic

    The X-Files - 3.1 - Optimistic
    Blindspot - 3.0 - Optimistic

    The Catch - 3.0 - Optimistic

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  10. Empire - 5.5 - Pessimistic

    Scandal - 3.4 - Optimistic

    How to Get Away With Murder - 3.3 - Optimistic

    Modern Family - 3.2 - Optimistic

    The X-Files - 3.1 - Optimistic

    Blindspot - 3.0 - Optimistic

    The Catch - 3.0 - Optimistic

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  11. Yes, but it ended with a 6.9, so I don't think it will fall to a 5.5

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  12. I expect to rebound from the spring but don't see it doing the mid 3s

    Besides TGIT promotion, I think
    ABC needs a promo similar to a Revenge S3 promo that was able to help

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  13. BONES IS THE BEST!!!!!

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  14. They're placing way too much faith on The Catch but that's just me.

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  15. I agree as well.

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  16. Oh yeah, the Emily gets shot promo boosted Revenge from a 1.6 to a 2.3, so they really need something that big to get Scandal's motors running again. After that... well, it'll be all about how TGIT and Scandal itself fare

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  17. Agree I am expecting more of a 2.5ish.., should be way above AC

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  18. I honestly think Murder will end up rating higher than Scandal next season

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  19. Possible..esp if Viola nabs the Emmy just a couple of days before

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  20. Here's to hoping Supergirl flops.

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  21. It'll get a renewal,no doubt about it but not that big as these people are making it out to be.Scream Queens,Muppets & Supergirl have that potential IMO.

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  22. I am predicting though early
    Greys 2.7-2.8
    Scandal 3.1
    Murder 3.3

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  23. I don't think Supergirl has that potential.

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  24. Not that High for Scandal.Maybe 2.8 ish?

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  25. Scream Queens should premiere but I see it falling a la AOS S1

    The Catch should benefit from easy time slot/ huge Oscar promotion

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  26. Definitely true. The Blacklist has been destroyed.

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  27. The lame storylines didn't help either.

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  28. How to get away with Murder has a big chance of becoming as hot as Scandal was, while Scandal has the chance to become a good performer like Grey's.

    Once Grey's retire, Scandal will go on at 8, and Murder will move to 9PM (maybe sharing its timeslot with The Catch if it does well) and a new Shonda drama will air at 10. And so ABC will keep TGIT forever, and ever and ever...

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  29. I know. Both worked together to kill the show lol.

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  30. I can tell you this-It will premiere big.What happens after that? your guess is as good as mine!

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  31. Maybe, but I think it could post the 3.0. It would be a +0.7 increase from the finale, which is what Revenge did on its 3rd season premiere, so it's possible, especially taking into account all the promotion that ABC will put on it.

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  32. I don't think Scandal will bounce back. Tbh I think HTGAWM will do better, like
    Scandal 2.9
    HTGAWM 3.0

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  33. Seems legit, though I'd made some slight adjustments:
    Greys: 2.7
    Scandal: 3.0
    Murder: 3.2


    As I said, slight adjustments

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  34. I don't think it will premiere big.

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  35. Even all TGIT shows crash ABC can still average a 2.0/2.1 for the night

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  36. I hope HTGAWM does really well!

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  37. As a matter of fact, HTGAWM's avarage for the season is 2.96 while Scandal's is 2.87, so Murder already outrated Scandal on avarage this season

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  38. Yep, Thursdays is the least of their troubles

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  39. Did they drop all those things the fans talked about last season that disappointed them? B13 SL or Getting rid of annoying characters like Rowan,Jake? That might help.

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  40. Well if GA can achieve a 2.7-2.8, Scandal should able to build by a couple of tenths

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  41. I think Gotham's performance his year hurt the predictions towards Supergirl

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  42. Don't underestimate GA.I think it will beat Scandal in the fall after some episodes.

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  43. Rowan is in jail
    Jake left
    B613 was completely dead

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  44. I think The X-Files is one of the few up there that could easily do a lot better than a 3.1.

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  45. I don't think so.

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  46. I'm hoping X-Files premieres to a 4.0 rating at least.

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  47. Good for the fans,i know almost everyone complained about these.

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  48. Just for Derek's Death eps

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  49. IMO Gotham is super boring.I hope Supergirl is better.

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  50. Yup as long Shonda produces shows that can achieve 2s the night is hers

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  51. True, and they tied once before that

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  52. It will have football so likely will

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  53. I was already gonna watch Blindspot because its looks good but I never thought that it would make it up there with the top 15.

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  54. ABC essentially gave her the keys to Thursdays; she can do anything she wants there

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  55. That's so good to hear.Go Keating clan!

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  56. Caught some Gotham episodes; never got into it.
    I'm also hoping Supergirl is better; since the people behing Arrow and Flash are on it, I'm hoping for the best

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  57. Gotham is a bad show, but I still watch it because I love the Batman universe.

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  58. I expect TBBT to continue its decline further next season.

    I know it's renewed through S10 is that the final though?

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  59. It'll depend on the cast and crew. CBS kept 2.5 Men around when it was doing high 1s, so it'll keep TBBT if the people behind the show is up for it

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  60. I think it has a chance.

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  61. Yup plus the last couple of eps that the decline happen were all cases of the week

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  62. I think it depends on the cast... I don't see them continue if the big characters leave

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  63. And i'm probably the only person in the world who doesn't find Batman appealing at all.LOL!

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  64. BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

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  65. Wow didn't expect the catch to be on there, isn't that a mid-season show too?

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  66. Yes it is a mid season show.

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  67. Minus Empire a lot of show will possibly be down big time

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  68. The moment Jim Parsons steps out of the door, the show is done.

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  69. Wow! Didn't know that, but so great to hear!

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  70. The funny thing is, the round up numbers are:
    Murder: 3.0
    Scandal: 2.9


    Exactly the prediction you left above xD

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  71. I found it optimistic.

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  72. In fact, its last half hour was a 7.0, so it may premiere higher than a 7 (my guess is a 7.7)

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  73. Season 9 was usually scoring around 5.8 to 6.1 on a regular basis, there's no reason to assume it couldn't do better than 3.1. In fact I think it's almost guaranteed it will. It's not like they're asking people to go to the movie theater and The X-Files is one of the most influential television shows in history, and lots of people still wanna see the resolution to the series. So, I think so.

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  74. Well, most of the people who watched the original have aged, it ended 13 years ago, but I still think it'll do pretty good. I think around mid 3s

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  75. It ended with a 6.9 so I don't think a 5.5 is optimistic.

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  76. Yeah, but viewers have changed a lot since the then. I think their is potential for the show to be a ratings hit, but since TV ratings have been falling for years now, you just don't know.

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  77. I don't think that it's going to be that high, but it's not impossible. my guess is a 7.1

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  78. I think/hope The Muppets and Scream Queens will premiere with +3.0

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  79. Hm-hm I don't think Scandal can be aired at 8 with the violence/sexual content.

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  80. Yep, having seen it I can tell you that I was really disappointed and didn't feel the 'Shonda vibe' at all.

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  81. Ugh they'll do like last year and give us two shitty teasers (talking about Scandal)............... -_-

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  82. People said the same thing before it moved from 10 to 9, saying it wasn't apt for 9.


    And honestly, there's always a way around that. Revolution aired at 8 on Wednesday and its content was apt for a 10pm show.

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  83. I thought it was only Shonda who didn't it moved to 9 because they'd have to make lighter content but then they made a deal etc to air it at 9 but with the same content.
    I never understood why Revolution wasn't apt for 8 (according to people) to be honest.

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  84. Well American Crime got that promotion that The Catch is going to have and still it premiered okay but then it just keeps going down and down.

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  85. I sort of take this with a grain of salt, since football is a no-brainer, and last's year's top predictions included The Blacklist on Thursday and State of Affairs.

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  86. I think you're right. I had seen all of the hype about the show and decided to check it out, but I didn't watch an episode of it until it had finished. Next season I'm going to be watching it from the start, I think that there are a lot of people like me.

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  87. Just batman, or everything from Gotham City? Cause I think Batman is meh, but I like the Gotham Villains!

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  88. Douglas from BrazilJuly 22, 2015 at 1:45 AM

    Blindspot and The Cacth at 2.9? I didn't expect TC in that list, so odd.

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  89. No surprise. S4B of Scandal was so boring

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  90. Douglas from BrazilJuly 22, 2015 at 1:48 AM

    I think Scandal is going to season 1 levels and Grey's will follow or even lower.HTGAWM will be next.

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  91. Douglas from BrazilJuly 22, 2015 at 1:50 AM

    and you mean "aged" you mean over 50 years old?

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  92. Douglas from BrazilJuly 22, 2015 at 1:51 AM

    TGIT forever...good lord I need to stop watching tv.

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  93. Douglas from BrazilJuly 22, 2015 at 1:52 AM

    But airs at 8pm in Central time zone so what's the difference?

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  94. I hope Blindspot does well.

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  95. I don't watch Scandal, but my mom was in love with it. She has officially taken it off her DVR series list.

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  96. I love Scandal but it didn't have a brilliant

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  97. Everything from Gotham City.I just find it bland.

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  98. Add the recasting on top of it and we might be looking for a disaster waiting to happen.

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  99. none of those will earn a 2.8 or higher for even one episode.

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  100. I really don't what they were thinking with that show to be honest.
    13 episodes is going to way to long to uncover the 'mystery'.
    10, or even 8 would be enough IMO.

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  101. Well, yeah, a good chunk of the audience must be over 50 (those who were 37 and onward), but those who were on their 20s and early 30s will still be on the 18-34 demographic, so I think the ratings will be in the mid 3s as opposed to the 6s it was getting back on its final season

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