Last Week's Final Adjusted Ratings
Early Ratings Analysis by Marc Berman (TVMediaInsights)
The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)
NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.
Monday 6/01/15
Household
Rating/Share
ABC 4.5/ 8
CBS 4.0/ 7
NBC 3.5/ 6
Fox 3.3/ 5
CW 0.5/ 1
-Percent Change from the Year-Ago Oscar Evening – Monday 6/02/14:
NBC: +17, ABC and CBS: + 5 each, Fox: -23, CW: -55
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Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. The overnights are your first look at what to potentially expect when the other results come in. And we always take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence. Keep in mind, as always, that results for any live sporting event are always approximate.
-Winners:
“The Bachelorette” (ABC), “American Ninja Warrior” (NBC)
-Positive Sampling:
“The Whispers” (ABC)
-Fading:
“So You Think You Can Dance” (Fox)
-Marginal (but Consistent):
“The Island” (NBC)
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-Ratings Breakdown:
ABC opened this first week in June on a winning household overnight note care of two hours of summer mainstay “The Bachelorette” (#1 for the night: 4.8 rating/8 share from 8-10 p.m.) and the debut of new scripted drama “The Whispers” (#2: 3.9/ 7). While “The Whispers” did trail an encore of “NCIS: Los Angeles” on CBS (#1: 4.3/ 7) by nine percent, comparably this opener was 26 percent above the season-premiere of year-ago time period occupant “Mistresses” (#3: 3.1/ 5 on 6/02/14). The overnight retention for “The Whispers” out of the 9:30 p.m. portion of “The Bachelorette” (4.7/ 8) was respectable at 83 percent. And there was only a seven percent drop in household rating at 10:30 p.m. (4.1 to 3.8).
Considering the 3.1 overnight rating for “Mistresses” one year earlier translated into 4.66 million viewers and a 1.2 rating/4 share among adults 18-49 (based on the Live + Same Day data), this could result in about a 1.5 rating in the demo for “The Whispers.” And this will clearly beat the aforementioned encore of “NCIS: Los Angeles” and week two of NBC Bear Grylls reality/competition “The Island” (#3: 2.2/ 4).
While a 2.2/ 4 in the household overnights is nothing to boast about for “The Island,” this was flat from the week-ago debut (which translated into a 1.2 rating/ 4 share in adults 18-49, based on the Live + Same Day data). But part of that consistency stemmed from the stronger lead-in support from “American Ninja Warrior,” which grew week to week by 35 percent in the overnights with a 4.2/ 7 from 8-10 p.m. (#2). And the 3.5/ 6 one week earlier already resulted in a 1.8/ 6 in adults 18-49. With that in mind, expect “American Ninja Warrior” to crack a 2-rating in the demo.
In season-premiere news, two hours of “So You Think You Can Dance” returned on Fox with a 3.3/ 5 in the overnights from 8-10 p.m. Comparably, this was 17 percent below the year-ago season-opener (4.0/ 6 on 5/28/14), which is the now the lowest return overnight performance for the veteran dance competition (which now includes Paula Abdul and Jason derulo as two of the judges). Comparably, expect about a 1.3 rating in adults 18-49 for “So You Think You Can Dance” (versus a 1.6 last year).
Elsewhere, CBS populated the evening with repeats of “2 Broke Girls” (#3: 3.7/ 6), “Mike & Molly” (#3: 3.9/ 6), “Scorpion” (#3: 3.9/ 6) and aforementioned “NCIS: Los Angeles” (#1: 4.3/ 7). And corporate cousin The CW aired encore telecasts of dramas “The Originals” (#5: 0.5/ 1), which is moving into the Thursday 9 p.m. hour (out of parent “The Vampire Diaries”) next fall, and “Jane the Virgin” (#5: 0.4/ 1). While upcoming Monday 8 p.m. CW occupant “My Crazy Ex-Girlfriend” is perfectly compatible into “Jane the Virgin” (and one of the more promising new network shows from a quality standpoint), don’t expect too much from the traditional ratings.
Source: Nielsen Media Research
Source:
About the Daily Ratings
Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.
The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).
Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.
Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above (We also where possible now post the 18-34 and 25-54 Demo Numbers).
Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.
Additional Ratings Resources
If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.
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