Last Week's Final Adjusted Ratings
Early Ratings Analysis by Marc Berman (TVMediaInsights)
The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)
NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.
Metered Market Tuesday Ratings
“Weird Loners” is DOA on Fox
Tuesday 3/31/15
Household
Rating/Share
CBS 7.3/12
NBC 3.8/ 6
ABC 3.0/ 5
Fox 2.3/ 4
CW 2.0/ 3
-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Tuesday 4/01/14:
CW: +233, Fox: +21, ABC: +15, NBC: -21, CBS: -23
———-
Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. These overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.
-Winners:
“NCIS” (CBS)
-Honorable Mention:
“The Voice” R (NBC), “The Flash” (CW)
-Losers (excluding repeats):
“Repeat After Me” (ABC), “New Girl” (Fox), “Weird Loners” (Fox), “Forever” (ABC)
———-
Ratings Breakdown:
CBS scored another easy Tuesday overnight win, but last night’s victory came as a result of “NCIS” and part one of miniseries “The Dovekeepers.” “The Dovekeepers,” which concludes tonight and will likely skew older, scored a dominant 5.8 rating/9 share in the household overnights from 9-11 p.m. Comparably, however, retention out of the 8:30 p.m. portion of “NCIS” (10.5/17) was soft at 55 percent. And there was erosion from 9:30-11 p.m., with the 10:30 p.m. half-hour 25 percent below the 9-9:30 p.m. portion. Half-hour breakdown: 6.7/11 – 5.8/ 9 – 5.5/ 9 – 5.0/ 9. Expect a respectable performance for “The Dovekeepers” in total viewers, with an adult 18-49 rating potentially under a 2 rating.
Overall, “NCIS” led the night with a 10.3/17 from 8-9 p.m., which was four percent above the 9.9/16 one week earlier.
In series-premiere news, there is only one way to describe opening overnight levels for Fox sitcom “Weird Loners”: DOA. “Weird Loners” debuted with a mere 1.5/ 2 at 9:30 p.m., which was one-tenth of a rating point (or six percent) below the season (or series) finale of “The Mindy Project” one week earlier (1.6/ 3 on March 24). “The Mindy Project” also scored a 1.6/ 3 in the overnights on the year-ago evening. “Weird Loners” slipped by 21 percent from the 1.9/ 3 (#4) for just renewed lead-in “New Girl” at 9 p.m. And it trailed episode three of competing “One Big Happy” on NBC (#3: 2.7/ 4) by a considerable 44 percent. While there are, of course, many other benchmarks to consider, a 1.5 rating in the overnights is unlikely to translate into much elsewhere for “Weird Loners.”
Considering most new shows drop 10 to 20 percent in week two, maybe the networks should take a break from the glut of 30something year old goofballs and misfits looking for love.
Earlier in the evening on Fox was tired “Hell’s Kitchen” at a 2.8/ 5 (#4) from 8-9 p.m., which was a slight improvement from the 2.7/ 4 last week.
On NBC, a recap edition of “The Voice” was on the map with a 5.8/ 9 (#2) in the overnights from 8-9 p.m. And it led into a 3.3/ 5 for sitcom “Undateable” at 9 p.m., which slipped by six percent from the 3.5/ 6 one week earlier. But overnight retention of 57 percent out of “The Voice” clips show was better than the 45 percent out of the original edition last week.
Week three of NBC’s aforementioned “One Big Happy” followed with a 2.7/ 4 (#3) at 9:30 p.m., which was a minor one-tenth of a rating point (or four percent) improvement from the 2.6/ 4 one week earlier. And it led into a 2.6/ 4 (#3) for a repeat of “Chicago Fire” at 10 p.m.
Elsewhere, recent ABC Tuesday 8-9 p.m. entries “Fresh Off the Boat” (#3: 3.5/ 6) and “Repeat After Me” (#5: 2.3/ 4) each perked up by two-tenths of a rating point week to week. But the overnight rating loss of 34 percent for “Repeat After Me” out of “Fresh Off the Boat” remains a concern. And they led into a 2.9/ 5 (#3) for demo friendly “Marvel’s Agents of SHIELD” from 9-10 p.m., which also increased by two-tenths of a rating point from last week.
Freshman drama “Forever” capped off the night for ABC with a 3.2/ 6 at 10 p.m. (#2), which will not even crack a 1.0 rating in adults 18-49.
On The CW, week three of drama ‘iZombie” scored a 1.4/ 2 at 9 p.m., which was a minor increase from the 1.3/ 2 one week earlier. But the overnight retention out of lead-in “The Flash” (#5: 2.6/ 4 at 8 p.m.) was only 54 percent.
Source: Nielsen Media Research data
Source:
About the Daily Ratings
Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.
The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).
Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.
Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above (We also where possible now post the 18-34 and 25-54 Demo Numbers).
Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.
Additional Ratings Resources
If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.
Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.
