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Ratings News - 5th February 2015

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Today's Early Overnight Ratings

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.


Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Wednesday Ratings
Positive Sampling for “Fresh Off the Boat” on ABC

Wednesday 2/05/15

Household
Rating/Share
Fox 7.9/12
CBS 5.7/ 9
ABC 5.0/ 8
NBC 4.4/ 7
CW 1.6/ 2

-Percent Change from the Year-Ago Evening – Wednesday 2/06/14:
NBC: +19, ABC: + 9, Fox and CW: -11 each, CBS: -12

———-

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. The overnights are your first look at what to potentially expect when the other results come in. And we always take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

-Winners:
“American Idol” (Fox), “Modern Family” (ABC), “Empire” (Fox)

-Honorable Mention:
“The Middle” (ABC), “Criminal Minds” (CBS), “Chicago PD” (NBC)

-Solid Sampling:
“Fresh Off the Boat” (ABC)

-Modest:
“The Mysteries of Laura” (NBC)

-Losers:
“The 100” (CW)

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
Fox remains the network to beat in the household overnights (and the key demos) on Wednesday care of “American Idol” (#1: 7.9 rating/12 share at 8 p.m.) and recent drama entry “Empire” (#1 for the night: 8.0/12 at 9 p.m.), which posted its fourth consecutive week of growth. As I was reminded by a number of readers last week, the last new series to grow in the ratings week after week was the inaugural season of “Survivor” on CBS, which debuted on May 31, 2000 (and did not face all original competition at the time). The 7.9 overnight household rating for “Empire” last week translated into 11.35 million viewers and a 4.3 rating/13 share among adults 18-49, based on the Live Plus Same Day data. Five-week overnight track for “Empire”: 6.8/10 – 7.3/11 – 7.6/12 – 7.9/12 – 8.0/12.

“American Idol,” meanwhile, dipped by 11 percent in the household overnights compared to the 8.9/14 for the two-hour telecast on the year-ago evening.

In series-premiere news, ABC sitcom “Fresh Off the Boat” was clearly sampled with a 5.5/ 8 in the overnights at 8:30 p.m. (#3), which was equal (in rating) to the 5.5/ 9 (#3) for lead-in “The Middle” at 8 p.m. And it was 20 percent above the most recent original telecast of regularly scheduled time period occupant “The Goldbergs” (4.6/ 7 on Jan. 14), which translated into 7.22 million viewers and a 2.3 rating/7 share among adults 18-49, based on the Live Plus Same Day data.

A second episode of “Fresh Off the Boat” performed similarly at a 5.0/ 8 at 9:30 p.m. (#3), but that 5.0 overnight rating was 26 percent below lead-in “Modern Family” (#1: 6.8/10 at 9 p.m.). Comparably, however, this was 19 percent above the 4.2/ 7 in the overnights for the most recent original telecast of regularly scheduled “black-ish” (on Jan. 14). And the positive news for ABC was initial sampling for both episodes of “Fresh Off the Boat.” But opening Tuesday at 8 p.m. effective next week minus any lead-in support will be no easy feat.

Three-year old drama “Nashville” closed the night for ABC with a typical third-place 3.6/ 6 in the overnights from 10-11 p.m., which was equal to the year-ago evening. Considering the need for more episodes in off-network, chances of a fourth season for moderately rated “Nashville” seems likely.

Elsewhere, freshman drama “The Mysteries of Laura” on NBC (#4: 4.0/ 6 from 8-9 p.m.) continues to trail equally older-skewing “The Mentalist” on CBS (#2: 5.8/ 9), which both do not resonate among adults 18-49. And “Laura” led into veteran “Law & Order: SVU” at a fourth-place 4.3/ 7 from 9-10 p.m. (equal to the year-ago evening), followed by sophomore “Chicago PD” at a first-place 5.1/ 8 at 10 p.m. Comparably, “Chicago PD” bested competing “Stalker” on CBS (#2: 4.8/ 8) by six percent in the overnights, and it built from the 9:30 p.m. portion of lead-in “Law & Order: SVU” (4.4/ 7) by 16 percent.

“Stalker,” meanwhile, dipped from veteran lead-in “Criminal Minds” at 9 p.m. (6.4/10) by 25 percent, which may not bode well for a second season renewal.

Over at The CW, sophomore drama “The 100” did not earn its third season renewal with a 1.1/ 2 in the overnights at 9 p.m. (#5), and retention out of lead-in “Arrow” (#5: 2.1/ 3) of just 52 percent. To the masses accusing me of purposely negating “The 100,” I have nothing against the show. Labeling it a “loser” is strictly from a ratings perspective. And, yes…this does warrant a “loser” label.

Source: Nielsen Media Research data


About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above (We also where possible now post the 18-34 and 25-54 Demo Numbers).

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

Don't forget to follow our Ratings Only Twitter Account for the latest Ratings News

Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.

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