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Ratings News - 15th January 2015

Jan 15, 2015

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Today's Early Overnight Ratings

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.


Early Ratings Analysis


The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Wednesday Ratings
Week Two Growth for Fox Drama “Empire”

Wednesday 1/14/15

Household
Rating/Share
Fox 7.5/12
CBS 5.6/ 9
NBC 4.3/ 7
ABC 4.1/ 7
CW 0.8/ 1

-Percent Change from the Year-Ago Evening – Wednesday 1/15/14:
NBC: +16, CBS: no change, ABC: – 7, Fox: -20, CW: -50

———-

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. The overnights are your first look at what to potentially expect when the other results come in. And we always take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

-Winners:
“American Idol” (Fox), “Modern Family” (ABC), “Empire” (Fox)

-Honorable Mention:
“The Middle” (ABC), “The Goldbergs” (ABC), “The Mentalist” (CBS), “Criminal Minds” (CBS)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
Nothing…there was something for everyone last night.

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
Dominant Fox got some particularly positive news last night care of episode two of drama “Empire,” which led the 9 p.m. hour with a 7.3 rating/11 share and built from its debut one week earlier (6.8/11 on Jan. 7) by seven percent. Most new shows drop in the vicinity of 10 to 20 percent in the overnights in week two, and that 6.8 overnight rating for the series-debut of “Empire” translated into 9.90 million viewers and a 3.8 rating/11 share in adults 18-49, based on the Live + Same Day data. Comparably, overnight retention for “Empire” out of the 8:30 p.m. ET portion of “American Idol” (8.1/13) was solid at 90 percent.

“American Idol,” meanwhile, scored a 7.8/13 from 8-9 p.m. While this was 17 percent below the 9.4/15 for a two-hour edition on the year-ago evening, it was still the top-rated program in the hour.

In the battle of the older skewing 8-9 p.m. dramas, soon-to-conclude “The Mentalist” on CBS scored a 5.7/ 9 (#2), which was 39 percent above competing “The Mysteries of Laura” on NBC (4.1/ 7). But this performance for “The Mysteries of Laura” was still 28 percent above the 3.2/ 5 for year-ago drama occupant “Revolution.”

“The Mentalist” led into a second-place 6.3/10 for “Criminal Minds” in the 9 p.m. hour, which according to CBS could be the parent to another spin-off series next season (failed “Criminal Minds: Suspect Behavior” aired briefly in 2011). And it led into on-the-fence “Stalker” at a first-place 4.9/ 8 at 10 p.m., which was 28 percent below the 6.8/12 for year-ago occupant “CSI.” Of CBS’ four new dramas this fall (“NCIS: New Orleans,” “Scorpion” and “Madam Secretary”), only “Stalker” has yet to be picked-up for 2015-16.

stalker

Leading out of “The Mysteries of Laura” on NBC was veteran “Law & Order: SVU” at a fourth-place 4.3/ 7 from 9-10 p.m., which was 19 percent below the 5.3/ 8 one week earlier. And sophomore “Chicago PD” capped off the night for the Peacock net with a second-place 4.5/ 8, which should be neck-and-neck with competing “Stalker” on CBS for first among adults 18-49.

The top draw on ABC was “Modern Family,” of course, which scored a second-place 6.5/10 in the overnights in the 9 p.m. half-hour. But with increased competition from “Empire” on Fox, lead-out “Black-ish” (#4: 4.2/ 7) could only hold 65 percent of the lead-in. Earlier in the evening on ABC were sitcoms “The Middle” (#3: 5.2/ 8) and “The Goldbergs”: (#3: 4.6/ 7), which slipped by a minor seven and eight percent, respectively, from one week earlier. And a repeat of “Forever” closed the evening for ABC with a modest 2.2/ 4 at 10 p.m.

The CW populated the evening with encore telecasts of “Arrow” (#5: 0.9/ 1) and “The Flash” (#5: 0.8/ 1).

Source: Nielsen Media Research data


About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above (We also where possible now post the 18-34 and 25-54 Demo Numbers).

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

Don't forget to follow our Ratings Only Twitter Account for the latest Ratings News

Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.