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Ratings News - 23rd September 2014

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Today's Early Overnight Ratings

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.

Can't see the tables? Check out our Troubleshooting Guide

Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Monday 9/22/14
Night One of the 2014-15 Season

Household
Rating/Share
CBS 8.4/13
NBC 8.2/13
ABC 7.0/11
Fox 4.8/ 7
CW 0.8/ 1

-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Monday 9/23/13:
CW: +60, CBS: +45, NBC: – 7, Fox: – 9, ABC: -20
———-

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. As always, these overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

-Winners:
“The Big Bang Theory” (CBS), “The Voice” (NBC), “Scorpion” (CBS), “The Blacklist” (NBC)

-Positive Sampling:
“Gotham” (Fox)

-Down but Not Out:
“Dancing With the Stars” (ABC)

-Disappointing:
“Sleepy Hollow” (Fox)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
“America’s Next Top Model” (CW), “Forever” (ABC)

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
On your mark, get set…go! CBS dominated this first night of the 2014-15 television season in the household overnights, inching past the home of “The Voice” and “The Blacklist,” NBC, by two-tenths of a rating point (or two percent). One year earlier, the Eye net opened third overall (behind ABC and NBC, which tied for No. 1). ABC and Fox were also on the map (despite less than stellar results for “Forever” and “Sleepy Hollow”) while The CW ducked with its combination of two encore episodes of “Whose Line is it Anyway?” (#5: avg. 0.6 rating/1 share from 8-9 p.m.) and the very tired “America’s Next Top Model” (#5: 0.9/ 1).

Tops in the 8-9 p.m. time period (and for the evening overall) were two episodes of “The Big Bang Theory” on CBS, with an 11.3/18 for the season-premiere at 8 p.m. and an 11.1/17 for a second episode at 8:30 p.m. Comparably, this was just seven percent below the 12.1/20 for the two-episode opener last season (on Thursday, 9/26/13). And those two episodes translated into 19.71 million viewers and a 5.8 rating/18 share among adults 18-49, based on the Live + Same Day data. Note to CBS: Smart move locking the actors in for the next three seasons.

With support of this magnitude (yes…lead-in still matters), the debut of CBS drama “Scorpion,” no doubt an unusual choice for the Monday 9 p.m. hour, was clearly sampled at a dominant 8.9/13 in the overnights from 9-10 p.m. Comparably, this was a hefty 55 percent above the year-ago “2 Broke Girls” (6.0/ 9 on 9/23/13) and Mom” (5.5/ 8) openers, and it led into a 5.0/ 8 (#3) for the season (or series) finale of summer drama Under the Dome” at 10 p.m. (5.0/ 8).

Proof there is room for more than one hit network show per time period was the season-premiere of singing competition “The Voice” on NBC, which resonated with an 8.5/13 in the overnights from 8-10 p.m. Comparably, that was just eight percent below the 9.2/14 year-ago season-opener (and that translated into 14.98 million viewers and a 5.1/13 among adults 18-49, based on the Live + Same Day data).

At 10 p.m., NBC’s the season-premiere of sophomore “The Blacklist” led with ease at a 7.8/13, which was just two percent below the 8.0/13 series-opener on the year-ago evening. Let’s see what happens next week when relocated “NCIS: Los Angeles” on CBS steps into the time period and “Castle” on ABC returns.

Over at ABC, “Dancing With the Stars” is down, but not out with a 7.9/12 from 8-10 p.m. Comparably, that slipped by 16 percent from the 9.4/14 in the overnights on the year-ago evening and 17 percent from the week-ago season-premiere (9.5/15 on Sept. 15). And that 9.5/15 translated into 13.64 million viewers and a 2.4/ 7 among adults 18-49.

At 10 p.m. on ABC was the series premiere/preview of drama “Forever” at a second-place 5.2/ 9, which was a hefty 30 percent below the season-premiere of year-ago time period occupant “Castle” (7.4/12 on 9/23/13). And retention for “Forever,” which opens in its regularly scheduled Tuesday 10 p.m. hour tonight, was only 65 percent out of the 9:30 p.m. portion of “Dancing With the Stars” (8.0/12). Rule of thumb: Most new shows drop in the vicinity of 10 to 20 percent in week two.

Given the hype for new drama “Gotham” on Fox, you might have assumed it would have opened stronger than a 5.7/ 9 in the household overnights at 8 p.m. (which finished fourth in the hour). But the strength of “Gotham,” which falls within the young adult demos, is definitely expected to resonate. Its social media presence is already huge. And this 5.7 rating was 19 percent above year-ago occupant “Bones” (4.8/ 7 on 9/23/13). Consider this a positive (albeit non-spectacular) start for “Gotham” in the overnights.

“Gotham” lead-out “Sleepy Hollow,” however, was very disappointing with the second season-opener at a 3.8/ 6 at 9 p.m. (#4), which was 33 percent below the 5.7/ 8 on the year-ago evening. And that 5.7 translated into 8.59 million viewers and a 3.1/ 8 in adults 18-49 (based on the Live + Same Day data). Comparably, retention for “Sleepy Hollow” out of the 8:30 p.m. portion of “Gotham” (5.7/ 9) was sluggish at 67 percent.

And there you have it…night one of the new TV season!

Source: Nielsen Media Research data


About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

Don't forget to follow our Ratings Only Twitter Account for the latest Ratings News


Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.

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