Welcome to this years SpoilerTV Cancellation Predictor
Last year, each week, we updated our data (see the notes below about how we get our data) in order to see if we could predict which show(s) would be renewed or cancelled. As you can see from last years summary, we did pretty well. We're hoping this year to make it even more accurate.
This index is by no means a 100% accurate guide about if your show is safe or in danger and should be seen as a bit of FUN.
NOTE: Until we have at least 3-4 weeks of data for each show that this table is not going to be very accurate and it will vary a lot each update. We'll try to update the full Cancellation Table every couple of days as we get new data in.
Last Updated: 21st May 2015 - Includes Final numbers up to and including 20th May 2015.
Recent Main changes
21st May - Table is now almost complete with only a few more shows to have their finales, and only A.D being "Unknown" for next year.
11th May - Updated with the CBS Renewals
8th May - Updated with all of todays Renewals and Cancellations so far.
7th May - Updated with all of yesterdays Renewals and Cancellations.
6th May - The Mindy Project Cancellation added
5th May - The Simpsons Renewal added
29th April - Revenge Cancellation added
11th March - Mike and Molly / Mom Renewals added
6th March - Allegiance Cancellation added
3rd March - Secrets and Lies, Battle Creek and The Last Man on Earth added to Table.
27th February - HTGAWM Renewal added
5th February - NBC Renewals added
18th January - FOX Renewals added
12th January - CBS Renewals Added
11th January - CW Renewals Added
27th November - Red Band Society mark as cancelled
23rd November - Members Only marked as cancelled
15th November - The Millers marked as cancelled
7th November - Selfie marked as cancelled
31st October - A to Z and Bad Judge cancelled
25th October - Manhattan Love Story cancelled [LINK]
12th October - Includes the recent ABC Adjusted Numbers.
11th October - Includes Final numbers up to and including Thursday 9th October.
24th September - First Update now that we have some data in.
24th August - Hieroglyph and Emerald City marked as Cancelled.
14th August - Table Created
Can't see the table? Check out our Troubleshooting Guide
Understanding the Table - Please Read
1) The Higher the Index Rating number the more likely a show is to get cancelled, lower numbers = safety.
2) This is an ongoing exercise that I hope to refine each week to make the index more accurate.
3) Only the major networks are included currently ie ABC/FOX/CW/CBS/NBC. And only for the main TV Season ie we don't cover Summer Shows.
4) This chart is a prediction of all the shows using our own formula based on the viewing numbers, 18-49, and + 7 Numbers. These 3 factors are the main weighting of the Index number, however we also factor in things such as the Network they are on (eg CW shows get lower numbers), the day of week they air (eg Fridays are lower numbers), DVR Numbers and +7 and +3 numbers,DVD/Blu-Ray Sales,Production Costs, Cast Contracts/Availability, Syndication, online popularity such as streamed views and Torrents, Nielsen Online Ratings etc.
5) Shows still might not get renewed despite good numbers due eg a show coming to an end of run eg Parenthood is in it's final season no matter what the ratings are etc or could be due to key cast wanting to leave after their contracts have expired. An example might be Supernatural if it’s two leads, Jared and Jensen wanted out, would Supernatural be renewed even if it had good numbers but no leads for the new season? etc
6) Remember Ratings are relative to ratings for other shows on the same network.
7) Shows that have been renewed for a New Season are marked in Blue
8) Shows with an Index over 2.70 are likely to be cancelled, 2.40-2.70 - in danger and less that 2.40 safe. Although shows nearer 2.40 are more in danger than a show with a lower index.
9) You can access this page via either the Start or Features Menu above or simply by Bookmarking it.
Here is a direct link to the full spreadsheet.
If you have any questions/suggestions, please don't hesitate in asking in the comments below.
1) The Higher the Index Rating number the more likely a show is to get cancelled, lower numbers = safety.
2) This is an ongoing exercise that I hope to refine each week to make the index more accurate.
3) Only the major networks are included currently ie ABC/FOX/CW/CBS/NBC. And only for the main TV Season ie we don't cover Summer Shows.
4) This chart is a prediction of all the shows using our own formula based on the viewing numbers, 18-49, and + 7 Numbers. These 3 factors are the main weighting of the Index number, however we also factor in things such as the Network they are on (eg CW shows get lower numbers), the day of week they air (eg Fridays are lower numbers), DVR Numbers and +7 and +3 numbers,DVD/Blu-Ray Sales,Production Costs, Cast Contracts/Availability, Syndication, online popularity such as streamed views and Torrents, Nielsen Online Ratings etc.
5) Shows still might not get renewed despite good numbers due eg a show coming to an end of run eg Parenthood is in it's final season no matter what the ratings are etc or could be due to key cast wanting to leave after their contracts have expired. An example might be Supernatural if it’s two leads, Jared and Jensen wanted out, would Supernatural be renewed even if it had good numbers but no leads for the new season? etc
6) Remember Ratings are relative to ratings for other shows on the same network.
7) Shows that have been renewed for a New Season are marked in Blue
8) Shows with an Index over 2.70 are likely to be cancelled, 2.40-2.70 - in danger and less that 2.40 safe. Although shows nearer 2.40 are more in danger than a show with a lower index.
9) You can access this page via either the Start or Features Menu above or simply by Bookmarking it.
Here is a direct link to the full spreadsheet.
If you have any questions/suggestions, please don't hesitate in asking in the comments below.
One of my favourite sections of the site each year! Table looks so clean and fresh before the mayhem!
ReplyDeleteHi, I just noticed that The Strain, American Horror Story and Under The Dome were missing on your list. Just wanted to let you know ;)
ReplyDeleteLost so many shows the past season, this season there is hardly anything on my Fall watchlist from the main networks. So really the shows I'm rooting for are AoS, B99, Good Wife, Revenge, Elementary and Sleepy Hollow. Kind of scared to fall in love with any comedies as they keep getting axed.
ReplyDeleteHi @Jessica The Strain and AHS are on Cable, not Broadcast :)
ReplyDeleteAlso, Under the Dome is a Summer show, we only track the main TV season Sept-May etc.
I'm sorry, I didn't know. Thanks for correcting me :)
ReplyDeleteHey no worries at all ;)
ReplyDeleteIf you read the notes under the table you can see how the table is constructed etc.
This is always great fun.
ReplyDeleteThis is one of my favourite feature of this site.
ReplyDeleteThis is always fun!
ReplyDeleteLove this section.
ReplyDeleteWhat about Dominion? It's not on the last list, because it came out to late. I would really like your opinion, on its chances. Continuum's chances as well.
ReplyDeletePlease read item 3 in the notes ;)
ReplyDeleteThanks. One day, i'm going to get myself into trouble, by skipping the small print. :)
ReplyDeleteDo you personally think, that either show will be renewed? If you don't want to set a precedent, i'll understand.
Ha ;) It's almost impossible to tell for syfy if you just look at the raw ratings numbers. There are so many other factors involved.
ReplyDeleteIf I was a betting man.
I'd say Continuum will get a 4th and final season, and Dominion would be cancelled. But that's just me going on gut instinct.
The Mentalist is final season, as confirmed by both Bruno Heller and Robin Tunney. That's all the confirmation I need.
ReplyDeletetks
ReplyDeleteThe Following will have produced only 45 episodes by season's end, isn't syndication around 80 episodes? It'll need at least three more seasons to get to that number...
ReplyDeleteOnce Upon a Time and Revenge on the other hand will have produced more than 80 episodes come May.
Yes, sorry. That was my mistake doing some copy/paste :)
ReplyDeleteI hope you're wrong about Dominion. But i'm so invested in Continuum, that if it comes to a choice, i'd rather have the latter.
ReplyDeleteYou got a tweet or article link for that?
ReplyDeleteWhat does it mean the section "close to sindication"?
ReplyDeleteRight now it's the likely speculation. Bruno Heller only said that season 7 is an "encore" season. Most likely it is the final season, but has yet to be officially confirmed.
ReplyDeleteEmerald City should be marked as cancelled.
ReplyDeleteIt essentially means that the show is close to being sold to another network to air reruns, usually that happens at about the 88th episode of said show.
ReplyDeleteIt is most likely the final season for The Mentalist but it has not been officially confirmed yet so we still hope for more episodes or another season (I can´t help it, even if my mind says no) :)
ReplyDeleteBut no matter what...I am simply happy to still see my favorite show on this list after all what happened in the last season and with all the rumors about the cancellation after season 6.
And here we go again! Isn't it exciting?
ReplyDeleteWould you consider doing a table for cable shows? I know it's probably more difficult but I would love it!
ReplyDeleteIt simply makes no sense to do one for cable. The ratings importance are different for each cable station and the numbers tend to be so low that it's impossible to predict. Also the cable networks put less emphasis on ratings than the broadcast networks. Only 2-3 shows would be in the Predicted to be renewed section eg Walking Dead, Game of Thrones etc. Everything else would be unknown.
ReplyDeleteDear SpoilerTV team
ReplyDeleteIs it possible if someone could make a Cancellation Prediction Table for Summer shows?
There are so few shows on Broadcast that it just doesn't make sense. The networks have vastly different expectations during the summer that make it impossible to predict.
ReplyDeleteThe only shows in the table would be Extant, Unforgettable, Under the Dome, Reckless, Crossbones and Mistresses.
Robin Tunney mentioned it in an interview at the 2014 TCA after party:) I can't post yi right now, but you can find it on YouTube.
ReplyDeleteI agree. There is no point for cable. But maybe a table for Summer-season? I just love this so much. Haha. Nice to see this fresh the table. It will get so messy in a couple of weeks.
ReplyDeletered band society has started
ReplyDeleteYep, I know. I watched it :)
ReplyDeleteWas it good
ReplyDeleteAnd we are back! Bring on the main season!
ReplyDeleteWhen are you going to update it? Red Band Society and The Mysteries of Laura has started.
ReplyDeleteYep, no point in updating until more shows have aired their premiere and/or pilot episodes.
ReplyDeleteThe list look longer than last seasons
ReplyDeleteLarger clearer font :)
ReplyDeleteMy favorite SpoilerTV feature!!
ReplyDelete:) Let hope we don't disappoint you this season ;)
ReplyDeleteI love and hate this at the same time...
ReplyDeleteLOL, I know the feeling.
ReplyDeleteThe Good Wife is going to make us suffer this year
ReplyDeletewhat about the night shift
ReplyDeleteThe Night Shift is a summer show and has been renewed for a second season.
ReplyDeleteFirst updates! Can't wait to see this table fill up over the next few weeks!
ReplyDelete>Checks down for Community
ReplyDelete>Doesn't see it
>Tears of joy
I know, right?
ReplyDeleteTGW is safe because: 1) it is a quality program in CBS' eye; 2) a strong female lead (rare on CBS); 3) a lucrative streaming after-market deal; and 4) they will announce a 'final' season so they can amp it up. I don't envision CBS treating TGW like an aging procedural. If it really suffers, I guarantee a new timeslot, but CBS knows it's against SNF, TWD, FG, Resurrection (who knows if that will continue it's steep slide or stabilize), etc., which isn't easy in fall. This show will get a lot of leeway.
ReplyDeletecan someone explain when it was officially decided that Season-7 Of "The Mentalist" was going to be The Last? I can't find anything about it
ReplyDeleteTim Kang (Cho) confirmed it on his Twitter account a week or two ago.
ReplyDeletehttps://twitter.com/Tim__Kang
First the Cancellation Bear showed up in my Twitter feed and now Cancellation Table has received it's first index update - WHOOP WHOOP! THE FALL SEASON IS FINALLY HERE!!!
ReplyDeleteIt's 103 shows this season and 93 last season on this list right?
ReplyDeleteOh no Mindy =(. If it drops under a 1.0 next week it will be gone soon
ReplyDeleteI wouldn't be surprised if FOX exhumed Hieroglyph now...
ReplyDeleteSomething news season 4 from Dallas?
ReplyDeleteDallas is a cable show, this is just for the Broadcast networks.
ReplyDeleteBruno Heller said specifically "last season" in his last interview which was mainly about "Gotham", but had also some informations about TM (http://www.assignmentx.com/2014/gotham-creator-bruno-heller-talks-young-batman-exclusive-interview/). Plus: Tim Kang ("Cho") has twittered that it's the final season, too. I honestly don't think that all of these people would clearly state "last season" if they weren't sure. And we pretty much know that CBS rarely announces last seasons, so I have no doubt. By the way: season 8 would bring the dreaded contract negotiations with Baker and Tunney, and we already had confirmation by staff writer Jordan Harper that season seven will have only 13 episodes... I think it's safe to say "final season".
ReplyDeleteIt's good; but nobody's watching.
ReplyDeleteTaxi Brooklyn, Night Shift, Unforgettable....
ReplyDeleteStill makes no sense with so few shows
ReplyDeleteI doubt The Good Wife is in danger despite it's low ratings. Keeps coming back.
ReplyDeletePretty sure this is the last season for "The Following" as well
ReplyDeleteBit sad to see 5-O in the yellow already. I really hope things can get better soon with the ratings.
ReplyDeleteVery early days. We need 3-4 weeks of data for each show plus more shows airing.
ReplyDeleteI know there have only been two episodes so far, but I'm glad to see Forever in the looking safe category. I hope it stays that way. I am totally hooked on that show after already.
ReplyDeleteI get that...but a list with the Cable shows, containing some rundown which are in their final season paired with an educated guess and an update when one of them got cancelled might be nice. Cable shows are constantly marginalized because the other Networks usually get more buzz. It would be great if they got a little bit more attention overall. Currently I have to look elsewhere to figure out how well a cable show does compared to other shows the same Network offers.
ReplyDeletenoooo Hawaii 5-0 - but we still have time - i hope soon we will be in green light!!
ReplyDeleteYou can see a full list of both Network and Cable Shows current status here
ReplyDeletehttp://www.spoilertv.com/2013/09/the-complete-spoilertv-20142015-tv.html
You can see the ratings for all shows in the ratings database and compare them with any show/season both 18-49 and Total Viewers.
As for educated guesses. We have absolutely no idea. The pure ratings simply don't give us the info.
Great...is that new? I didn't see that before.
ReplyDeleteIt would make more sense to sort the list by network instead of alphabetically, though. Then it would be possible to see with one look how many shows are in the program, how many will or might end soon aso.
We've had it just over a year. It's listed in both the menu and the quick access sections.
ReplyDeleteMost people prefer it alphabetically as it's easier to find their show. You could copy the text from the spreadsheet and make your own and then you can sort it how you like etc.
My very early snappy judgments:
ReplyDelete- In big danger: Red Band Society, The Mysteries of Laura, Madam Secretary,
- Not totally safe (broad, I know): Revenge ,Nashville, The Mindy Project, Forever, CSI
- Could go in the previous category but I don't really think so: The Good Wife, H50, Blue Bloods
- Old category makes it harder to know: Bones, SVU
- Everything else: As safe as it gets
how can Nashville not be safe with syndication on the way?
ReplyDeleteIn my opinion, syndication is not an absolute "cure-all" type of phenomenon. I see it more as a boost, a powerful one, that it gives shows.
ReplyDeleteFor instance: if a show is at, say, 75% of a network's average, that's usually a bubble show. But if it is approaching syndication, those 75% easily become something more comparable with 105% or something like that! So the show will be very safe!
However... if you have a show that is performing, say, at 20% of the network's average, even with a very generous syndication boost that wouldn't be more than 50-60% comparable wise. To me, this show would be cancelled.
Now, Nashville is still performing at 60%, so syndication should be enough to do the trick, but if it falls more than the rest of the pack come spring (admittedly not very likely considering the other stuff should come down from the inflated premieres) , it could ugly up to a point in which syndication won't cut it.
I'd say its looking safe right now, I'd reserve in danger for later. If Nashville starts doing sub 1s then I'm ready to consider it in danger, but as of right now the show is not going anywhere
ReplyDeleteWith Forever and (sight...) MAOS horrible showings, I am more inclined to agree.
ReplyDeleteJM signed a major production deal with CBS yesterday, I'm guessing that TGW is safe for S7. (Not that I have much doubt.) MS gets until the end of October - CBS will have enough data based on NFL-fueled line-up and regular schedule. If it keeps pulling 1.4s, it will be yanked with TAR returning to it's home.
ReplyDeleteI sincerely doubt TAR in on CBS schedule come spring. If Madam Secretary is yanked, they will probably simply do The Good Wife/ CSI/ The Mentalist and call it a day.
ReplyDeleteI think CBS would be wise to save TAR for summer for a companion show to big brother which seems to have trouble being a lead-in for the old skewing dramas anyway. I would do Big Brother | TAR | Unforgettable in the summer.
And....we have the first entries into the red zone for this TV season!
ReplyDeleteDon't see TAR being a summer show, at least not for next summer. CBS is shooting the 2015 season in May-June, per the TAR casting site.
ReplyDeleteIt used to be one so I don't think it's inconceivable that it goes back to being one. Big Brother usually premieres in July only so there would be time to shoot it in the months you refer.
ReplyDelete3 of 4 Shows i watch are in the yellow and red terrain :(
ReplyDeleteHF-0 and Blue Bloods had the same demographic in the final numbers, so why is HF-0 more in danger of cancellation than BB? Anyway, it's ridiculous to make such pronouncements after one episode.
ReplyDeleteDid you read any of the article
ReplyDeleteI just hope AOS increases its become way to good for it to just get cancelled this season
ReplyDeleteWow new girl is now in danger not surprised.
Isn't grade point just for 1 season I don't think they will cancel it probably burn it in Christmas if it goes lower
Oh its sad to see Reign up there. I hope that their ratings get higher. And glad to see Sleepy Hollow is safe.
ReplyDeleteIn the Color Codes, the Renewed for another Season should be blue, right?
ReplyDeleteHey @Sophia Yes :) I'll get that fixed now., I must have set it wrong this morning when I did the update.
ReplyDeleteThanks for spotting
Could you please include a few popular Canadian shows, heartland (8 seasons on CBC) and Orphan Black (2 Seasons)
ReplyDeleteIt makes no sense, sorry. We don't get ratings info on Canadian shows and have no idea what their ratings thresholds are. It would not make sense to include them in a USA based system.
ReplyDeleteHi Dark ! CSI is not doing very good since it has been moved from Wednesday to Sunday... Do you think CBS could change it on another timeslot this season ? I mean it has a lot of potential after 15 seasons, that's kinda sad to see it being down on one of the worst timeslot of the week...
ReplyDeleteI guess they could. All depends how other shows do. CBS don't really move shows much once they have started a season.
ReplyDeleteIs gotham in danger of being cancelled? I love this show, it is my favourite right now. Is it going to be a full season or it wasnt anounced yet?
ReplyDeleteHi, You should be able to see its position in the table. Are you not able to see the table?
ReplyDeleteAlot of FOX shows aren't doing so well this years, three of them immediately went right into the red zone.
ReplyDeleteHoping that New Girl picks up...
ReplyDeleteFOX is dying.
ReplyDeleteThank you for this table. Will follow with interest.
ReplyDeleteOur pleasure, hope you find it useful.
ReplyDeleteDallas is cancelled now.
ReplyDeleteMy very uneducated guess (since the season is still very young and especially because I have a very hard time predicting anything FOX related this year due to the mess they've become) is that it comes back based on 18-34 strength but it probably gets a bottom of the hour placement instead of anchoring an hour.
ReplyDeleteI can't see Bob's Burgers on the list. Is that because of its weird time slot?
ReplyDeleteYep, it airs outside of primetime normally.
ReplyDeleteThanks!
ReplyDeleteShould it be moved later on to replace Mulaney, would its previous ratings be considered in the index?
They would be reported in daily ratings tables but it would be too late to include them into our various tables such as these.
ReplyDeleteAllright, it seems reasonable. Thank you for the clear explanation!
ReplyDeleteWe do include it in our Show Status Report here http://www.spoilertv.com/2013/09/the-complete-spoilertv-20142015-tv.html
ReplyDeleteI'm bookmarking this and keeping my fingers crossed for my shows to stay green. Thanks!
ReplyDeleteThe only show I care about is Supernatural, the best show out of all of them, want to see it run another ten years.
ReplyDeleteThey could remove all the Reality shows, that would be great.
ReplyDeleteThey'll never do that, reality shows, as much as they suck, make the networks the most money.
ReplyDeleteHuh, well this will be a bitch to recalculate when we get the revised Nielsen numbers....
ReplyDeleteKidding, kinda....the adjustments are likely to be very small but I wonder if it would have an impact on the predictions even this early in the season?
Ha yes, it will be a bit of pain lol Should not take us too long as I suspect the adjustments will be small and all relative :)
ReplyDeleteIn a way I hope the adjustments are significant - the only way we are going to get a better system to replace Nielsen is if they make a mistake large enough for the advertisers to demand it....unfortunately, don't think this is going to be it!
ReplyDeleteHonestly, if you look at the renewals of UTD & Extant, there are so many other factors networks take into account - it's more than Nielsen. In the above cases, it was Amazon Prime's $900K per episode for each show that helped make them profitable for CBS. Streaming revenue deals will become a bigger factor while L+SD/C3, while important, won't be the only benchmark.
ReplyDeleteAgreed - I too believe that is the direction we are moving to - not only streaming deals, but L+3 and online viewing numbers being factored in as well. It just feels like we are getting there at a snails pace though....a giant screw up by Nielsen could be the kick in the pants needed for the industry to lend some urgency to a revised system.
ReplyDeleteWhy is Bob's Burgers not on the chart?
ReplyDeleteIt airs outside of primetime hours.
ReplyDeleteI hate reality shows, they suck, boring, and all the same, I don't waste my time watching any of them.
ReplyDeleteI'm actually a little sad about "A to Z". I think it's one of the few new shows that are worth this season. I hope it gets renewed.
ReplyDeleteNot happy about The Mindy Project being in "red"… I'm hoping for a miracle.
ReplyDeleteI was about to post the same thing. It's the only new comedy that I'm watching, it's cure and funny and, unlike most other options, it has soul.
ReplyDeleteI'm a little sad about Gracepoint too now. But at least we have Broadchurch S02 coming.
ReplyDeleteI was about to say the same thing.
ReplyDeleteReally sad about A to Z.
ReplyDeleteThe Amazing Race is the only reality show I bother watching.`
ReplyDeleteI don't know what that is, because I don't watch any, but I will not pay high cable bills anymore, who can afford it with the way things are going today.
ReplyDeleteWhy Bones is higher up on the table than TVD if TVD has gotten lower ratings for both of its epsodes than Bones has for its 3? Is it just because of it's on the CW? I know they're both "safe" at the moment; I'm just curious.
ReplyDeleteso in other words FOX isn't doing so well this season, and CBS might cancel H5O, I really hope they give it a wrap up season, or just make this one last since there's still time to notify production.
ReplyDeleteI think it's because TVD is pulling decent ratings and Demo by CW standards, plus they are in talks to renew it for an early seventh season; so this might be it, or am just wrong :p
ReplyDeleteThey are different networks so you can't compare ratings like that. CW has a much lower average so the ratings don't need to be so high to have a good score etc.
ReplyDeleteYeah, I thought it had to do with it being on the CW. But thanks. :)
ReplyDeleteYeah, that's what I thought. And I think they are in talks for another season, if I remember correctly. Oh, and what did you mean by "...an early seventh season; so this might be it..."? Sorry, but I'm a bit confused.
ReplyDeleteI just know that one of the leads isn't too keen on renewing his/her contract for additional seasons, so the network may try to convince them seeing TVD did well for its premiere. they could order additional season this fall, like they did with TO last year, but who knows?
ReplyDeleteI thought that's what you were getting at, but the wording threw me.
ReplyDeleteHi.. New Girl don't have "the" in front of it. Isn't "The New Girl". At least is how I know the show :l sorry if i'm mistaken.
ReplyDeleteAny word on The Bridge or Continuum?
ReplyDelete@Andy,
ReplyDeleteTechnically, Scandal will also be close to syndication at season's end. Not that it needs it or anything to be renewed more than comfortably, but it should still be on the list. It will have 70 episodes at season's end (which is pretty close to the 66 most shows have at the end of their full third seasons, or even the same when they have 24 eps seasons)
Thanks. Updating now ;)
ReplyDeleteOne of the few original ideas for a drama, and it gets the worst ratings... sad indeed.
ReplyDeleteNo problem ;)
ReplyDeleteIt's always been just "New Girl", but sometimes sites add "the" in front of it just for the kicks
ReplyDeleteYep :)
ReplyDeleteWhen the show was first in development it was called "The New Girl". This is what we went with when we setup our databases, sites, RSS feeds, links etc. FOX later dropped the "The" and it was too much work in those days to rename and recode everything.
I completely don't get why Red Band Society is in danger...
ReplyDeleteBecause it's ratings have been terrible.
ReplyDeleteThat i can see but i don't get why because it's an awesome show I mean seriously when I first heard that it will be show about sick kids I was skeptical and now I relly love it it's extraordinary and not sad.
ReplyDeleteThis chart does not show how good or bad a show is, just what it's chances are of Renewal/Cancellation. Many great shows have been cancelled in the past whilst other bad shows have been renewed. It's just the way of the world unfortunately.
ReplyDeleteI know, I know :(
ReplyDelete*Gary Jules song in background*
ReplyDeleteNo sorry. Those aren't covered here as they are Cable shows.
ReplyDeleteJust curious why Utopia isn't listed on here? This show is awful but I can't stop watching. I'm hoping it gets word of cancellation, so I can pare it out.
ReplyDeleteHi,
ReplyDeleteWe only cover scripted Drama and Comedies on SpoilerTV. We don't cover reality or competition shows.
I feel obligated to upvote this statement every time I see it in print because it always puts a smile on my face.
ReplyDeleteForever is in the danger zone ,Does that mean it is in danger of getting cancelled before the completion of 1st season or it will complete its season . I am asking because i saw an article about forever that abc has given order for additional script .Does that mean its gonna get axed.
ReplyDeleteAll our table is able to try an predict is basically will it be renewed or not for another season. It's almost impossible to tell if a network will pull a show of the schedule before it's full completion.
ReplyDeleteSurprised that we've not had our first cancellation yet. In the past six seasons, the first cancellation has already happened by now.
ReplyDeleteFOX just became the new NBC.
ReplyDeleteI guess the networks are being a little more invested in this season's crop of shows.
ReplyDeleteYep. I don't think it'll be long before we get it though.
ReplyDeleteWell technically we have had 3 ;)
ReplyDeleteNow you're just being picky ;)
ReplyDeleteCan't count shows that were so bad that they didn't even make it to air as first cancellations lol
LOL. The better question is, if they were that bad why were they ordered. And more worrying.. just how bad were the ones that were not ordered to series !
ReplyDeleteI guess we'll never know ;)
ReplyDeleteI think show's will start getting cancelled very soon since the mid-season lineups will be getting announced within the next few weeks.
ReplyDeletesadly :(
ReplyDeleteIt makes me happy, but, at the same time, a bit sad that Bones is now below Sleepy Hollow.
ReplyDeleteOr 4 if that Mulany announcement means what I think it does.
ReplyDeleteYep, that pretty much means that it won't be seeing a second season
ReplyDeleteIKR. Last year, 4 shows had been pulled by now.
ReplyDeleteMight as well add HoD as final season, the stars all but confirmed it when the production wrapped last week, despite what CW says.
ReplyDeleteCSI?
ReplyDeleteI can't find it.
ReplyDeleteIts the first show on the "looking safe" list : )
ReplyDeleteSidereel says Madam Secretary is in danger !!! i hope they lie ... they also have all these other shows that are not on here.. not that it matters since i don't know or watch them. But I like your list better since it gives Madam Secretary some hope !!
ReplyDeleteThanks. Out of interest, what does sidereel base it's calculations on?
ReplyDeleteNot sure. This is their cancellation thingy and it doesn't say anything what they base it on: http://www.sidereel.com/topic/cancellation-buzz
ReplyDeletewondering cw might have a new head ache when to air zombie,hod and batb. the schedule is packed tight for the first time in cw. i smell summer .
ReplyDeleteWell actually the list for close to syndiction is way off everything on list is NOT close to syndication; they are all at 65 to 72 episodes , with Elemenary being the closest at 72 eps..For syndication its 88 episodes & most preferably 100.. Person of Interest will be there at the end of this season. Hawaii 5-O will have 100 in 2 weeks
ReplyDeleteI hope forever doesn't get cancelled,good show with a unique twist to it. Also AOS is nailing it this year massive improvement over last season.
ReplyDeleteThere's only two I remotely care about in the "Likely" category.... Red Band Society (wouldn't be broken up if it went but it's not bad) and Selfie (this was way better than I expected and kinda growing on me).
ReplyDeleteIn the "Danger" category there's a few more that I really would miss (Blue Bloods, Hawaii 5-0) and some that started weak but have been getting better (Forever, Bad Judge).
I'm surprised how high the index is on several shows are in the "Looking Safe" category too... over shows I'm surprised aren't cancelled already.
The table will likely change a lot.
ReplyDeleteThere are still 40 shows that have not aired yet,and most shows have not aired 4 episodes yet, which is the minimum to get a stable index number.
So expect things to change a bit depending on how well or poorly the unaired shows do.
Well good to see AOS still in green but if any of the mid season shows become e a hit its in huge trouble dangit shield!! Just stay above 1.6 will ya, I do believe if agent carter becomes a sleeper hit shield might actually get a lot of interested viewers but that's just a theory.
ReplyDeleteIt pains me to see The 100 in the danger category. Madam Secretary and Stalker have the same index number. I am really curious if either or both of them will get a back-nine order, and if so, which one(s).
ReplyDeleteI agree that the Madam-Stalker situation is very intriguing. But this is what I think is more likely out of the 4 options:
ReplyDelete1) Madam gets a back order and Stalker doesn't.
2) Stalker gets a back order and Madam doesn't
3) Both get a backorder
4) Neither gets a backorder
But it's a very tight race.
And I absolutely hate seeing The 100 in there.
I am hoping a decision is coming soon. CBS can't wait much longer. I think option 3 is unlikely, because they still have The Mentalist and Battle Creek for midseason. Option 4 is possible, but I consider options 1 or 2 more likely. In terms of demo, Stalker has a slight edge and in terms of total audience, Madam Secretary nearly doubles Stalker's total viewers. Also, Stalker could have done much better especially with the most compatible lead-in the show can have.
ReplyDeleteI was just going to write how sad it makes me to see "The 100" in the yellow danger category! Really hope the ratings pick up because this chart is seldom wrong!
ReplyDeleteI hope the ratings rise too! Let's just blame the World Series for the low numbers, next week it should go up!
ReplyDeleteThanks :)
ReplyDeleteyou asked me somewhere if I knew sidereel's methodology ... i do not..i looked but could not find anything; I also think its great that you respond as much as u do !
ReplyDeletewhat does it mean by close to syndication?
ReplyDeleteyou asked how does sidereel populate its table .. i dont know, i looked for a methodology and didnt find one..also great work responding to ppl !!
ReplyDeletecan you help put heartland on the radar. It is a great canadian family show, it currently airs on uptv in the US. It is my understanding that it is not on a major network because cbc wanted to have control over all aspects of the show you lose that by signing up with big network america....a few other good / popular ones are rookie blue and orphan black ..
ReplyDeletewhats syndication .. i am sorry if i am repeating my questions, I see them posted and then they disappear so I am a bit confused.
ReplyDeleteIts fine. It is very confusing now. It means a show (take TBBT for example) airs on a cable channel such as USA. This is just for network shows BTW, not cable shows such as GOT or TWD. A network show needs 88 eps (4 full seasons) for syndication. As stated above, Nashville is in season 3 meaning it will have 66 eps by the end of May. It needs one more full season to get 88. This can then be sold to cable networks and this is where the big cash cow comes in. This is how Friends still makes millions a decade after it ended. This is why you see networks drag shows with awful ratings. They will get their money back with syndication.
ReplyDeleteHope that helps! :D
Needs 1 more full season.
ReplyDeleteI wish CW would just spit it out already.
ReplyDeleteIt doesn't matter what I do, I can't see the chart. I've deleted my cookies, I've undone my extensions, I just can't see the chart. :(
ReplyDeleteDrop us an email and we'll get you working
ReplyDelete