Today's Early Overnight Ratings
This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our
Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)
If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent Ratings FAQ.
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Early Ratings Analysis
The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)
For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this
Wikipedia Entry.
NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article,
Marc Berman.
Monday 11/11/13 Metered Markets
ABC Leads; NBC Will Lead Among Adults 18-49
Household
Rating/Share
ABC 8.1/13
NBC 7.1/11
CBS 4.6/ 7
Fox 4.5/ 7
CW 0.9/ 1
———-
-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Monday 11/12/12:
Fox: +32, NBC: +15, CW: +12, ABC: -10, CBS: -15
———-
-Winners:
“Dancing With the Stars” (ABC), “The Voice” (NBC), “Sleepy Hollow” (Fox), “Castle” (ABC), “The Blacklist” (NBC)
-Honorable Mention:
“How I Met Your Mother” (CBS), “2 Broke Girls” (CBS), “Bones” (Fox), “Mike & Molly” (CBS),
-Losers (excluding repeats):
“Hart of Dixie” (CW), “Beauty and the Beast” (CW), “Hostages” (CBS)
———-
-Ratings Breakdown:
ABC opened the week on a winning overnight note, once again, with a 14 percent advantage over No. 2 NBC. But NBC is a lock among adults 18-49 (and the other key young adult demos) thanks to “The Voice” and this season’s biggest new hit, “The Blacklist.” And ABC, unfortunately, could finish as low as No. 4 in adults 18-49. But, hey…viewers over age 50 should still matter.
“Dancing With the Stars” led the night in the overnights with an 8.8 rating/13 share from 8-10 p.m., which comparably was 13 percent below the 10.1/15 on the year-ago evening. SPOILER ALERT: If you don’t want to know who exited last night, skip the remainder of this paragraph. But Elizabeth Berkley… you were totally robbed. Obviously, many of the “Blue Collar Comedy Tour” fans are watching “Dancing With the Stars” given that Bill Engvall made it into the semi-finals.
“Castle” capped off the night with a dominant 6.8/12 in the overnights at 10 p.m., which was one-tenth of a rating point (or one percent) above competing “The Blacklist” on NBC (6.7/12). “Castle” was on par with the year-ago evening, while demo dominant “The Blacklist” outdelivered former time period occupant “Revolution” (4.6/ 8 on 11/12/12) by a considerable 46 percent.
Third-place CBS had a typical Monday, with freshman “Hostages” at 10 p.m. the weak link at a distant third-place 3.3/ 6. Comparably, that was 40 percent below year-ago time period occupant “Hawaii Five-O” (5.5/ 9 on 11/12/12). At this point, it looks like the Eye net will appropriately keep “Hostages” in the time period until the 16 ordered episodes conclude and upcoming midseason drama “Intelligence” is ready.
Earlier in the evening on CBS was the revised rotation of sitcoms “How I Met Your Mother” (5.4/ 8), “2 Broke Girls” (5.4/ 8), “Mike & Molly” (5.7/ 9) and “Mom” (4.6/ 7) at typical overnight levels. Each finished third in their time periods in the overnights, with retention for “Mom” out of “Mike & Molly” of an adequate 81 percent.
“Bones,” which shifts to Fridays at 8 p.m. (into returning “Raising Hope”) this week, opened on Fox with a respectable 4.7/ 7 (#4) at 8 p.m. And that led into a now typical 4.4/ 7 (#4) for already renewed “Sleepy Hollow” at 9 p.m., which was double the 2.2/ 3 for failed “Mob Doctor” on the year-ago evening. As always, “Sleepy Hollow” is expected to build from “Bones” by double-digit percentages among adults 18-49.
The CW, meanwhile, remained out of the competitive loop care of “Hart of Dixie” (#5: 1.1/ 2) and sophomore “Beauty and the Beast” (#5: 0.7/ 1), which has sunk to oblivion minus the former lead-in support from “The Vampire Diaries.”
Source: Nielsen Media Research data
Source: Marc Berman@tvmediainsights
About the Daily Ratings
Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the
Ratings Database.
The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).
Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.
Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.
Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the
Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.
If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent Ratings FAQ.
Don't forget to follow our Ratings Only Twitter Account for the latest Ratings News
Additional Ratings Resources
If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.
Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.
Yay Sleep Hollow! :) Looking forward to the demo numbers.
ReplyDeleteLooks like a very typical night. I think the blacklist is legit.
ReplyDeleteAll I hope is that Bones got at least a 2.0.
ReplyDeleteIt probably did, but I think the rating it gets today it is 100% irrelevant for its future renewal or cancellation though!
ReplyDeleteI´m expecting a 1.9/2.0 for Castle...
ReplyDelete'The Blacklist' is a definite hit!
ReplyDeleteI am sorry to ask but why do you keep expecting 1.9s for Castle every week? I find it funny but you are very pessimistic every week :P
ReplyDeleteMaybe Dixie up to 0.5? Can't wait to see.
ReplyDeleteProbably true, but I still want it to do well.
ReplyDeleteAnd if The X Factor (and/or Glee) does bad again, I'll be really mad. I know it's off-topic, but I'm just saying.
Every week you're incredibly negative in regards to Castle, rather it be total viewers being down or the demo. It's getting comical at this point.
ReplyDeleteI think you should regard the move to Fridays as a sign that they trust that the show is capable of lifting Fridays and that Glee would not be, it's the way I see it and it's the only logic that justifies it. In that sense, it should not be seen as a punishment but as a vote of confidence of sorts. The same way LMS and MC were put on Fridays last year on ABC; the hope was that they were strong enough to open a comedy hour there, they were not send there to die. I don't think Glee could have done that. As for The X-Factor, although I think they would be better served by having Bones on Thursday instead of The X-Factor at this point, it's mid November, which means there is only one more month of X-Factor, then it's break and then it's American Idol, which as weaker as it may be, it is still stronger than the x-factor, so things are different.
ReplyDeleteDixie actually got a 0.5 a few weeks ago. I don't know why but sometimes shows get post day adjustments (even after final numbers). If you see the L7 numbers for this week that were posted here yesterday, you see that Dixie's Live+SD number was a 0.5. This is more for our enjoyment than for anything though, because those type of changes have likely no statistical impact on the show's profitability and renewal/cancellation chances.
ReplyDelete“Beauty and the Beast” (#5: 0.7/ 1), which has sunk to oblivion minus the former lead-in support from “The Vampire Diaries.”
ReplyDeleteOnly fools think lead ins have to do with crappy Nielsen ratings. BATB ratings have sunk because Nielsen ratings are more dependent upon surrounding competition, not on what show leads in another. In other words, BATB got screwed due to its move to the surrounding competition on Monday night. Flip HOD and BATB and you would see the ratings flip. That's how statistically irrelevant Nielsen ratings have become.
Your comment makes no sense at all. Let me comment on some aspects:
ReplyDelete- Lead-ins obviously have to do with the ratings a show gets. Beauty and the Beast is one proof of that. Do you want more? Let's see... The Millers falls when TBBT doesn't air, Super Fun Night falls when MF doesn't air, Revolution fell airing sans the Voice, Go On increase when aired after the voice again, Private Practice fell when moved away froM GA... Should I continue?
- What do you mean with ratings being dependent on competition? Sure, ratings tend to decline when a show has more competition, but they also tend to decline when a show airs out of a worse-lead in.
- No, Beauty and the Beast got screwed because it didn't have its own audience that would follow it to its new day. It showed that there were a lot of people only airing it because it was on after The Vampire Diaries.
- The fact that Hart of Dixie's ratings are also bad doesn't mean Beauty and the Beast's ratings are good. I do agree with you that there is a chance the ratings would flip if the shows were swapped (or at least, that both would score the same), but so what? Beauty and the Beast would still be cancelled and Hart of Dixie would still be renewed. Differences of 0.1 are statistically meaningless for the most part.
I never blamed Dixie's for Beauty's failure, when did I say such a thing? Of course the lead-in doesn't help but the show is sinking on its own regardless. I never said the opposite!
ReplyDeleteSilly rabbit
ReplyDeleteNot every person searches for the remote every hour. There are quite a few stick to the same channel for the entire night.
ReplyDeleteWasn't that 0.5 adjusted down to 0.4 in the final ratings and was inflated by one of the channels airing sports instead of HoD?
ReplyDelete2.5 for Sleepy Hollow is good. It seems to have stabilized.
ReplyDeleteSleepy Hollow is even with last week.
ReplyDeleteNo, that was a 0.6 I think. I don't know why these post finals adjustments happen but they do in very rare instances.
ReplyDeletemaybe half the audience just stopped watching because they didnt like the show?
ReplyDeleteHoD was adjusted down in two tenths that week and B&tB was adjusted by 0.3. I don't remember a week of it getting more than 0.4 on the finals. Was it adjusted up post-final in the Live+7 DVR reports?
ReplyDeleteI think in case of Glee the younger audience and the higher ad rates speaks in their favor. Fox simply makes a lot of money out of it to put it on Friday at this point. And i wouldn't say Friday move is bad for Bones especially if it stays in the range of 1.5 -1.7. Shows can have good ratings on Friday (Grimm) and stay there for more then one season.
ReplyDeleteYes, exactly.
ReplyDeleteAt least we know Bones will be renewed. I personally would like to see Glee moving to Fridays and Bones moving to Thursdays at 9PM, but the competition is much more fierce at Thursdays than Fridays, so at least competition-wise, Friday is better. Plus, XFactor's lead-in is pretty much a joke these days.
ReplyDeleteThe Blacklist is extremely impressive.
ReplyDeleteNo, not you, I was commenting to you and then adding thoughts to above. Sorry!
ReplyDeleteOh, interesting. It rarely happens and what it does, it usually happens to the CW.
ReplyDeleteLast year I remember it happened once to Parenthood and once to Chicago Fire, it was when I learned that these existed.
ReplyDeleteAh, no problem!
ReplyDeleteIt happened to TVD last year IIRC twice.
ReplyDeleteThe Blacklist - 3.0! Up from last week!
ReplyDeleteIsn't there a mistake for Castle's viewers? I don't understand how it can have lower viewers than the Blacklist but still have a better results (6.8/12 compared to 6.7/12).
ReplyDeleteJust asking because I find this odd :)
Yeah you're right but I would think they are pretty rare or else we would probably hear more about them I think. Regardless, as I say all the time, 0.1-0.2 changes are meaningless.
ReplyDeleteHere are the 1/2 hrs
ReplyDelete8:00 p.m.
ABC – Dancing With the Stars
Viewers: 12.03 million (#1), A18-49: 1.6/ 5 (#4)
CBS – How I Met Your Mother
Viewers: 8.08 million (#3), A18-49: 3.1/ 9 (#2)
NBC – The Voice
Viewers: 11.74 million (#2), A18-49: 3.7/10 (#1)
Fox – Bones
Viewers: 7.23 million (#4), A18-49: 2.0/ 6 (#3)
CW – Hart of Dixie
Viewers: 1.20 million (#5), A18-49: 0.4/ 1 (#5)
———-
8:30 p.m.
ABC – Dancing With the Stars
Viewers: 12.58 million (#1), A18-49: 1.7/ 4 (#4)
CBS – 2 Broke Girls
Viewers: 8.20 million (#3), A18-49: 2.7/ 7 (#2)
NBC – The Voice
Viewers: 12.00 million (#2), A18-49: 3.8/10 (#1)
Fox – Bones
Viewers: 7.48 million (#4), A18-49: 2.1/ 6 (#3)
CW – Hart of Dixie
Viewers: 1.11 million (#5), A18-49: 0.4/ 1 (#5)
———-
9:00 p.m.
ABC – Dancing With the Stars
Viewers: 13.03 million (#1), A18-49: 1.9/ 5 (#4)
CBS – Mike & Molly
Viewers: 8.56 million (#3), A18-49: 2.2/ 6 (#3)
NBC – The Voice
Viewers: 12.10 million (#2), A18-49: 3.9/10 (#1)
Fox – Sleepy Hollow
Viewers: 7.11 million (#4), A18-49: 2.6/ 7 (#2)
CW – Beauty and the Beast
Viewers: 921,000 (#5), A18-49: 0.4/ 1 (#5)
———-
9:30 p.m.
ABC – Dancing With the Stars
Viewers: 12.40 million (#1), A18-49: 1.7/ 4 (#4)
CBS – Mom
Viewers: 6.93 million (#3), A18-49: 1.9/ 5 (#3)
NBC – The Voice
Viewers: 11.73 million (#2), A18-49: 3.8/10 (#1)
Fox – Sleepy Hollow
Viewers: 6.86 million (#4), A18-49: 2.5/ 6 (#2)
CW – Beauty and the Beast
Viewers: 888,000 (#5), A18-49: 0.3/ 1 (#5)
———-
10:00 p.m.
ABC – Castle
Viewers: 10.65 million (#1), A18-49: 2.0/ 5 (#2)
CBS – Hostages
Viewers: 4.78 million (#3), A18-49: 1.2/ 3 (#3)
NBC – The Blacklist
Viewers: 11.17 million (#1), A18-49: 3.2/ 9 (#1)
———-
10:30 p.m.
ABC – Castle
Viewers: 9.52 million (#2), A18-49: 1.9/ 6 (#2)
CBS – Hostages
Viewers: 4.20 million (#3), A18-49: 1.0/ 3 (#3)
NBC – The Blacklist
Viewers: 10.28 million (#1), A18-49: 2.8/ 3 (#1)
They measure different things..The 6.8 is the household rating (how many houses were watching), the number of viewers is how many people with age >2 were watching. Because not all houses have the same number of people living in them, you cannot extrapolate from one number to the other.
ReplyDeleteWow at Castle jumping from that 1.7 to a 2.0 at 10pm. Very impressive.
ReplyDeleteYup, especially when we get only one data point. If a show gets 0.5 it ranges between 0.45 to 0.54, and it can be very close to 0.4 and 0.6.
ReplyDeleteYeah, the rounding error is another problem very often. For instance, The Tomorrow People was virtually stable from the first episode to the second (it lost something like 0.05%, which is as stable as it gets) and if you look at the rounded demo, it looks like an 11% drop!
ReplyDeleteSleepy Hollow might even adjust up, It had 2.5\2.6 half hours. Nice!
ReplyDeleteI didn't know. But I still find it odd because the last weeks, Castle was also 0.1 over the Blacklist in the household rating, and it always end up being stronger than the Blacklist in total viewers. So that's why, I asked if there wasn't a mistake.
ReplyDeleteYeah, and people talked constantly about Arrow premiering with lower than 1.0 when it had 0.93 and was very close to that 1.0 rating..
ReplyDeleteQuestion: Is the 10.09 audience for Castle a typo and it should say 10.9
ReplyDeleteor is that the real number? Because it said that the household share
was a little above the Blacklist, shouldn't that translate into the
viewer numbers? I honestly have no idea if that's the case so it would
be nice if s/b cleared that up for me. Thank you! :)
No, 10.09 is correct. Household numbers are meaningless for total viewers.
ReplyDeleteThey measure different things..The 6.8 is the household rating (how many houses were watching), the number of viewers is how many people with age >2 were watching. Because not all houses have the same number of people living in them, you cannot extrapolate from one number to the other.
ReplyDeleteYou are trying to extrapolate conclusions from households to total viewers. You cannot do that. It may be that the 0.1 difference that Castle had over the blacklist last week were houses with more viewers and this week were not watching. Don't try to extrapolate, you cannot.
ReplyDeleteThe winners of the night for me are How I Met Your Mother for continuing the impressive feat of hanging on to a 3.0 level, The Blacklist and also Castle, for jumping from a 1.7 to a 2.0 at 10pm facing the 3.2 from the blacklist. Bones, Sleepy Hollow and 2 Broke Girls also did okay.
ReplyDeleteAh ok, I didn't know. It's just that Castle always happened to have a higher number in total viewers in the last weeks while having simultaneously one rating point more than the Blacklist. So I thought they were connected! Thanks for your answer! :)
ReplyDeleteYeah indeed. Besides, when shows are that close to the .5 mark, they are most likely to adjust upwards or downards when the C3 numbers come in and those are the ones that actually count. I mean, I still celebrate small deviations from my shows and final adjustments and all, but when analyzing the actual ratings, trends and renewals prospects I ignore all those, because they mean nothing statistically speaking.
ReplyDeleteHH and total viewers are different things so higher HH doesn't necessarily mean higher viewers.
ReplyDeleteNo problem :)
ReplyDeleteTry reading the FAQ linked to in the articles. It's very good for understanding Ratings.
Thank you for answering! See my answer to the admin above of why I thought those numbers were related. :)
ReplyDeleteSleepy Hollow is a winner in my book, it's my favorite new show this year, and I'm glad it's holding on well.
ReplyDeleteNo problem.
ReplyDeleteYeah, I'm not from the US so it's always a little difficult for me, but I will have a closer look at it! :)
ReplyDeleteYes, I agree, it should be a winner as well. I think it has a chance of going up a bit next week if Almost Human debuts well.
ReplyDeleteSo, if household doesn't reflect the viewers nor the rating, what's the point to have it, and how can you determinate if a show did great or not based on it? Thanks for your answers!
ReplyDeleteHow do you know that Bones will be renewed? Was it announced? Did I miss it?
ReplyDeleteI'm guessing it will be renewed based on the ratings. The only way it won't be renewed imo is if David doesn't want to continue for another season.
ReplyDeletewith so many rumors, who knows if he will continue. Can trust nobody today :-)
ReplyDeleteDavid has said multiple times that he is not leaving at the end of this season and Emily confirmed they're both signed on for season ten.
ReplyDeleteDavid tweeted a fan only recently that he has a contract through S10 and will definitely return if they are picked up.
ReplyDeleteReally glad Sleepy Hollow is steady!
ReplyDeleteBy the looks of it not only lead ins matter but also lead outs. Looking at Arrows last season being paired up with Supernatural might've done Arrow more favours than one would imagine.
ReplyDeleteIf BatB would be paired up with a show more fitting to its genre the ratings might rise
You can't, basically. The only reason we look at it is because it comes out earlier. Also, it does give some very rough ideas. Like if a show has very large household numbers, it is unlikely to have very low ratings and vice versa. But this only works for shows with very large or very low numbers. Most shows are in-between so we don't really get a meaningful idea from them. However, they are also used to evaluate the popularity of the show statistically. Said popularity, however, has no bearing on its renewal chances.
ReplyDeleteI agree that lead-outs also help, though not nearly to the same extent.
ReplyDeleteSleepy Hollow was good last night! And I finally caught a new HoD episode, not surprised by the drop in ratings.
ReplyDeletedon't know why someone disagreed with you, its numbers so far this season are impressive.
ReplyDelete"You're telling me that BATB got over HALF of its audience due to TVD from last year?"
ReplyDeleteYeah, I watched most of the first season because it followed TVD. I didn't like it enough to follow it to another night. I haven't watched one episode of this season.
It was a 1.9. LOL
ReplyDeleteHow can he keep putting HIMYM in "Honorable mention" when it's the top rated non-reality show in the demo?
ReplyDelete